Jackpot Tracker
How long does a jackpot typically go before someone wins? Which SA lottery game produces the most frequent jackpot wins — and which builds the biggest pools before paying out? This page answers those questions with data from every draw in our dataset.
The win rate shows what percentage of draws produce a division 1 winner. The average gap is the mean number of consecutive draws between jackpot wins. The current rollover counter tracks how many draws the current jackpot has rolled over without a winner — useful for timing when you enter.
Win Rate Comparison
| Game | Draws | Jackpots Won | Win Rate | Avg Gap | Max Rollover | Current Rollover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lotto | 278 | 27 | 9.7% | 10.2 draws | 35 | #3 |
| Lotto Plus 1 | 278 | 32 | 11.5% | 8.8 draws | 26 | #3 |
| Lotto 5 Max | 278 | 23 | 8.3% | 11.6 draws | 31 | #3 |
| PowerBall | 279 | 22 | 7.9% | 12.8 draws | 25 | #7 |
| PowerBall XTRA | 279 | 31 | 11.1% | 8.7 draws | 45 | #7 |
| Daily Lotto | 973 | 871 | 89.5% | 1.1 draws | 4 | Just won |
Biggest Jackpots Won
Lotto
Lotto Plus 1
Lotto 5 Max
PowerBall
PowerBall XTRA
Daily Lotto
The Lotto jackpot is won every ~10.2 draws on average. Rollovers of 10–20 represent peak EV before ticket sales spike and split risk rises.
PowerBall averages ~12.8 draws between jackpot wins. Extended droughts of 20+ draws have produced jackpots exceeding R150M — creating the best EV windows.
Daily Lotto pays out 90% of draws. If no one matches all 5 balls, the prize rolls down to Division 2 — meaning the jackpot pool is always distributed.
Understanding jackpot patterns
Jackpot win rates vary significantly across SA lottery games, primarily because of ticket pool size and prize structure. Daily Lotto — with odds of 1 in 376,992 — pays out almost every draw. Lotto (1 in 20,358,520) and PowerBall (1 in 33,900,160) can roll over for weeks before finding a winner.
Extended rollover streaks create the largest jackpots in SA lottery history. The rollover counter on this page tells you how many consecutive draws have passed without a division 1 winner for each game. When a game is deep into a rollover streak relative to its historical average, the jackpot pool is larger — and so is the theoretical expected value per ticket. Our EV calculator lets you model the exact return at any jackpot size.
Jackpot data sourced from official National Lottery records, covering October 2023 to present. Payout figures represent the total division 1 prize pool — individual winner payouts vary when the jackpot is split. Always verify at nationallottery.co.za.